BTN vs BB Single Raised Pot Deep Dive: K♠ Q♦ 5♣ at 100bb Cash
A full Solver+ breakdown of King-high broadway play. On K-Q-5 rainbow the button holds nearly all the strong hands, so it c-bets 94% for a small size. Here is the c-bet split, the big blind's 13% check-raise, and how the turn barrels flip on aces, bricks, broadways, and paired boards.
King-high broadway flops are where the button's preflop advantage is at its loudest, and most players still get the sizing wrong. On K♠ Q♦ 5♣ in a single-raised pot, the button opened and the big blind called, which means one player holds almost all of the strongest hands and the other holds almost none of them. That single fact drives a flop strategy that looks nothing like the "bet big with your good hands" instinct. This is a full Solver+ breakdown of the spot: the c-bet, the defense, and the turn barrels that separate the players who understand range advantage from the players who just have a pair.
1The Board and Who It Favors
Three features define this flop. It is broadway-heavy (two of the five highest cards), it is rainbow (no flush draw), and it is disconnected below the top (the 5 barely interacts with anything). Put together, it is a static board: equities are largely set on the flop and will not swing much on later streets.
Now overlay the preflop story. The button opens a wide range that is thick with exactly the hands this board hits: AK, AQ, KQ, KJ, QJ, and every Kx and Qx broadway, plus the overpairs. The big blind, defending against an open, has three-bet most of its AK and KK preflop, so its calling range arrives here range-disadvantaged and, more importantly, capped. The button holds the top of the range and the big blind mostly does not. That asymmetry is the entire strategy.
2Flop: The Button's C-Bet
When you own the range and the nuts on a static board, the solver does not pick between betting your good hands and checking your bad ones. It bets the entire range for a small size, because every hand benefits: the value hands get called by worse, and the air denies equity cheaply while keeping the button's range uncapped. Here is the flop action split.
| Action | Size | Frequency | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet small | 25% pot | 75.9% | The default. Bets the entire range, prints from a capped caller. |
| Bet big | 80% pot | 18.3% | Polarized: strong value (sets, two pair, top pair top kicker) plus a measured share of backdoor air. |
| Check | - | 5.8% | A tiny slice of give-up and pot-control hands. |
3Flop: How the Big Blind Defends
Facing the 25% c-bet, the big blind is getting an excellent price (calling 1.38bb to win a 6.9bb pot), so it continues wide. But defending is not just calling. A meaningful check-raise keeps the button honest and stops it from betting a pure range for free.
Big blind response vs the 25% pot c-bet.
The check-raise runs around 13%, built from the value that wants to grow the pot (sets, two pair, strong Kx) and semi-bluffs with real backup. A hand like J♥ T♥ is a model check-raise: an open-ended straight draw to the nut end (any 9 or A completes it) plus a backdoor flush, which is exactly the kind of equity that can barrel again on later streets. Against the larger 80% c-bet, the math changes: the big blind folds far more (about 55%), calls 43%, and almost never raises, because the price to continue is no longer a discount.
4Turn: Where the Barrels Live
The button bet small and the big blind called. The pot is now 8.3bb. What happens next depends almost entirely on the turn card, and this is where the spot stops being automatic. Select a turn type below.
The ace is a button card. An overcard to the whole board hits the button's range (AK, AQ, Ax) and misses the big blind's capped calling range almost entirely. The big blind checks 99% of the time, and the button attacks.
| BTN action | Size | Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Bet | 80% pot | 35.7% |
| Bet | 135% (overbet) | 17.9% |
| Bet | 25% pot | 6.6% |
| Check back | - | 39.8% |
The button barrels about 60%, weighted toward big and overbet sizings. The ace lets it credibly represent the top of the range while the caller has almost none of it.
A blank changes little about the range, so the button slows down. On an offsuit deuce the big blind can even lead out around 13%, and when it checks, the button checks back a majority of the time.
| BTN action | Size | Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Check back | - | 65.2% |
| Bet | 135% (overbet) | 31.5% |
| Bet | 80% pot | 2.5% |
Notice the shape: when the button does bet a brick, it is almost pure overbet. The barrels collapse into a small, sharply polarized range of strong value and chosen bluffs, while everything medium takes the free card.
A broadway card connects with both ranges. A jack brings the big blind some two pair and gutshots, so it defends and occasionally leads (about 8%). The button still barrels, but less than on the ace.
| BTN action | Size | Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Check back | - | 60.0% |
| Bet | 135% (overbet) | 18.6% |
| Bet | 80% pot | 16.7% |
About a 40% barrel, split between the big and overbet sizes. The button's advantage shrinks when the card also helps the caller, and its aggression shrinks with it.
Pairing the bottom card hands initiative to the big blind. When the 5 pairs, the button's overpairs and Kx lose relative value and the caller's range (which holds more 5x and low cards) improves, so the big blind now leads out about 25% of the time. When checked to, the button mostly checks back.
| Player / action | Size | Frequency |
|---|---|---|
| BB leads | - | ~25% |
| BTN checks back | - | 73.0% |
| BTN bets | 135% (overbet) | 18.9% |
This is the one turn where the button plays defense. If you keep barreling every turn out of habit, the paired board is where it costs you.
5The Line at a Glance
BB checks 99%
BTN bets 25% pot 76%
BB fold 36% · call 52% · check-raise 13%
(call) Turn → ace: barrel 60% · brick: barrel 35% overbet · broadway: barrel 40% · pair: check 73%
BTN bets 80% pot 18% (polarized)
BTN checks 6%
6River Principles
By the river the pot geometry is set by the turn size you chose. The static nature of K-Q-5 means the same logic carries through: on cards that kept the button ahead, value bets stay wide and thin, and the overbet threat that started on the turn continues, because the caller's range is capped and cannot punish it. On cards that improved the caller, the button checks back its medium hands and defends rather than barrels. The single most important river habit here is to keep sizing tied to the range picture, not to the strength of your specific hand. If your turn barrel was an overbet, your river is usually a commit-or-give-up decision, so plan the river before you fire the turn.
7Quick Reference
| Misconception | What the solver actually does |
|---|---|
| "Bet big with my strong hands on a dry board." | Bets the whole range small (76%); the big size is a separate polarized line, not the default. |
| "The big blind should just fold and give up." | Big blind continues about 64% vs the small bet, including a 13% check-raise. |
| "Keep barreling every turn, I have the range." | Barrels hard only on range-extending cards; checks back 73% when the board pairs the bottom card. |
| "A small bet means a weak hand." | The small bet is the entire range, from the nuts to air. |
Practice This Strategy in ThinkGTO
Apply what you've learned with ThinkGTO's GTO trainers and solver tools. Study real scenarios, drill against GTO bots, and build winning habits.
Try ThinkGTO FreeLevel Up Your Poker Strategy
Join thousands of players getting weekly GTO insights, strategy breakdowns, and training tips straight to their inbox. Free forever.
No spam, ever. Unsubscribe anytime.
You're in!
Alex Kim
GTO Analyst
Solver wizard and theory enthusiast. Runs deep analysis on solver outputs and translates them into practical heuristics.