Hand of the Week
Exploiting the river min-bet
$1/$2 Live — 6-handed, 100bb effective
Preflop: A loose-passive player opens to $8 from the cutoff. You call on the button with A♠5♠. Blinds fold. Pot: $19
Flop: K♦9♠4♠ — Villain bets $10 (53% pot). You call with the nut flush draw. Pot: $39
Turn: 2♥ — Villain checks. You check back. Pot: $39
River: 7♣ — Flush missed. Villain bets $4 into $39 (10% pot).
The read: This min-bet screams medium strength — likely a weak king or a nine trying to extract thin value without risking a raise. Villain checked the turn (no confidence), then bet tiny on the river (wants a cheap showdown).
The play: Raise to $28. Villain’s capped range folds at an extremely high frequency — they simply don’t have monsters in this line. Your ace-high even wins at showdown occasionally, but the raise prints money against this sizing tell.
Practice river bluff-raising spots like this in Postflop+ to calibrate when aggression is profitable.
|