Log your hands and habits, then see what actually wins. Plus: beating GTO regs, and BB defense at 15bb.
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This Week's Read
GTO Players Are Exploitable
"Unexploitable" describes a perfect equilibrium, not the human across the table trying to copy it from memory under a clock. Real regs collapse their bet sizes into one or two defaults, quietly drop their marginal bluffs, and turn timid when the pot gets big. Each gap between the strategy they intend and the one they actually produce is yours to attack. Build the baseline in Solver+ and GTO Ranges+, then take one sourced step to the side when a player drifts off it.
Strategy Spotlight: BB Defense at 15bb on the Bubble
Near the money bubble at 15bb, defending the big blind versus a button open splits into three jobs, not one. Premiums like AA take a small 3-bet to keep weak hands in. Suited wheel aces such as A5s and A2s prefer the jam, using their blocker and all-in fold equity. Hands like K9o just flat. The grid below is the real solved range, so you can see exactly where each region sits.
15bb · BB vs BTN open · ICM near bubble
13×13 preflop range grid: each cell's color band widths show fold/call/3-bet/jam frequencies
Jam · 3-bet · Call · Fold
Cell width = action frequency.
Cell width is proportional to action frequency.
Source: GTO Ranges+ · full 169-combo solve
The full library of ICM, PKO, and Spin ranges across stack depths lives in GTO Ranges+. More on the bubble itself in Surviving the Money Bubble.
Hand of the Week
100bb Cash · BTN opens, BB calls · Single raised pot
A♠ 7♥ 3♦
BB checks, as the out-of-position caller should. Now the button owns the board: more aces, more strong hands, nothing dynamic to fear. Solver+ bets the entire range for a small price and rarely sizes up:
c-bet 25% pot → 67%
check back → 27%
large bet 80% pot → 5%
The lesson: a static ace-high board is a range-bet board. A tiny stab denies equity cheaply and keeps your range uncapped, while the big size stays rare. Pressure-test your own spots in Postflop+.
Free Tool
Multiway Equity Calculator
Stop guessing how your hand runs against two or three callers. Punch in your hand, your opponents' ranges, and any board, and the calculator returns exact equity in seconds. It is the fastest way to check whether that flop call is actually getting the right price. Free, no signup.
This Week in Poker
The online grind keeps getting narrower. A recurring theme in coaching content this week: table caps, forced seating, and anonymized tables have quietly removed the old reg edges of mass-tabling and HUD mining. The takeaway is not doom, it is a shift. In a pool with no stats to lean on, fast and sound in-game reads plus memorized ranges are the edge that remains.
WSOP season is here. With summer tournament volume ramping up, ICM and bubble discipline are back in every conversation. If you only drill one thing before you play a series event, make it short-stack big-blind defense (see the grid above).
Train sharper this week
Drill solved spots, track what works, and read the latest on the blog.
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