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ThinkGTO
Think Deeper. Play Sharper.
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New Deep Dive
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The Flop You Should C-Bet 94% of the Time
On K♠ Q♦ 5♣ in a button-versus-big-blind pot, the raiser holds nearly every strong hand and the caller holds almost none. So Solver+ bets 94% of the range, almost all of it for a tiny 25% pot size. The big blind still fights back with a 13% check-raise, and the turn flips hard: the button barrels 60% when an ace arrives, but checks 73% of the time when the board pairs. Our new deep dive walks every street with real frequencies, and you can drill the whole line in Postflop+.
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Strategy Spotlight: The Range That Plays That Flop
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Before the button ever sees a flop, the big blind decides which hands to bring. At 100bb, defending against a button open is a three-way split: 3-bet the strong and the pressure hands, flat a slice of speculative suited hands, and fold the rest. This is the exact preflop range that then arrives on boards like K-Q-5. The grid below is the solved defense.
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100bb cash · BB vs BTN open · 3-bet / flat / fold
Jam
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3-bet
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Call
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Fold
Cell width = action frequency.
Cell width is proportional to action frequency.
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Hand of the Week: The Opposite Board
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100bb Cash · BTN opens, BB calls · Single raised pot
9♥ 8♦ 7♣
Same players, same stacks, opposite flop. K-Q-5 was the button's dream. This is not. On 9-8-7 the big blind's calling range is stuffed with straights, two pair, and big draws, so the button cannot bet its whole range. Solver+ flips the plan:
check back → 53%
bet 80% pot → 29%
bet 25% pot → 18%
The K-high board wanted a small range-bet. This one wants a check or a big one. The board texture, not your hand, picks the size. See it for yourself in Postflop+.
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Free Tool
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MDF Calculator
When you face a bet, minimum defense frequency is the threshold that stops your opponent from auto-profiting with any two cards. Fold more than it allows and every stab prints against you. The free MDF Calculator turns any bet size into the exact share of your range you need to continue with, so you stop over-folding to the small stabs and the big overbets alike. Bookmark it for the rivers where the math is not obvious.
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This Week in Poker
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The Main Event is in full swing. Las Vegas is deep into the WSOP Main Event this week, and the usual mix of deep runs, brutal coolers, and life-changing pay jumps is filling the feeds. If you are following along, the bubble and pay-jump spots on the stream are exactly the ICM decisions worth studying, not just watching.
Playing out of position as the raiser. A theme making the rounds in coaching this week: when you raise and get called by the blinds, you give up the automatic c-bet edge you would have in position. The fix is to check more, protect your checking range, and stop firing every flop on reflex. The same range-advantage logic from this week's deep dive runs in reverse when you are the one out of position.
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Drill the boards that decide pots
Practice real flop decisions, then check them against the solved answer.
Read the blog →
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ThinkGTO · Operated by Crafty Wheel Studios
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